..Find out more, Perspective – U.S. Strategy in the South China Sea, By: In terms of the actual frequency of disastrous events, experts point to a disturbing increase in recent years. And – they are the most threatening to national security planners because rapid changes like this will inevitably cause reactions by people that could cause conflict. Alexandria, Virginia 22314-2882 In the same letter, the group of leaders also noted how disastrous weather events can cause significant harm to the nation’s security infrastructure. Perspective – A Closer Look at the U.S. Strategy on Sanctions, Protecting Yourself from Disinformation in 2020, ASP COO Andrew Holland in High North News, U.S. Congress Gives Support for New Fusion Public-Private Partnership, Trump Administration Decision to Withdraw from Syria Another Sign U.S. “This diverts resources away from the armed forces that are needed to ensure security,” Stavridis says. By Chloe Thompson Opinion Contributor Aug. 1, 2017, at 1:30 p.m. Our Climate Is Our Security ASP has been a leader in looking at the national security implications of the Climate Change, since the publication of the Climate Security Index in 2009. Climate change is a growing threat to our very existence. Instead, the possibility of rapid or dangerous non-linear changes in climate could cause widespread damage. DOD's six … American Security Project, As the U.S. seeks to strengthen its position in the South China Sea, this paper examines strategies to increase American leadership and boost allies in the region. The climate is notoriously difficult to predict, and models are imperfect. When national security planners look to prevent future threats to our security, they know that you cannot act with certainty: once you have 100% certainty, it is too late to act. ​​Photo by Storms Media Group, Alamy Stock Photo, Climate Change as a National Security Threat. Specifically, he says that the Pentagon’s Northern Command, which deals with non-military domestic emergencies, should receive more funding for planning and training related to environmental events. There is a temptation to say “if only the Senate could pass the Graham-Kerry-Lieberman climate policy act then all would be solved.” Unfortunately, the climate system is largely ‘locked-in’ for the next 30-40 years. The report’s findings on the direct impacts of climate change on our national security is all about risks to the critical, hard infrastructure that helps sustain our national strength, and the military personnel who support it. I am not a scientist, so I will leave the rest of the explanation to NASA scientist Jim Hansen, who discussed the science of climate change in a recent TED speech. (November 12, 2018) Given this, Stavridis says that the U.S. military must recognize that it will be increasingly called on to respond to natural disasters such as hurricanes, wildfires, and drought. Nonetheless, he says climate change is a threat to national security in several ways. able to play a leading role in confronting climate change not only because it commands authority and respect from the public "It dried up their crops, they had to move, and they had to make a living. USA, The Need for Leadership to Combat Climate Change and Protect National Security, data from the National Interagency Fire Center. adshelp[at]cfa.harvard.edu The ADS is operated by the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory under NASA Cooperative Agreement NNX16AC86A Joshua W. Busby Associate Professor of Public Affairs, University of Texas-Austin Or a rapid collapse in tropical forest, due to altered moisture levels in the air. The 2014 Quadrennial Defense Review labeled climate change as a "threat multiplier," meaning the stressors already present around the world ("poverty, environmental degradation, political instability, and social tensions") will likely be amplified and worsened by the introduction of climate impacts. Examples of threats include how rising sea levels threaten low-lying infrastructure across the Gulf Coast. For the Harvey response, officials deployed more than 6,000 active duty troops and 6,000 members of the Texas National Guard. President Barack Obama warned Wednesday that time is running to out to address what will be irreversible effects of climate change, pressing … WASHINGTON — President Trump is preparing to establish a panel to examine whether climate change affects national security, despite existing reports … […] Holland: Why Climate Change is A Matter of National Security […], Perspective – Diplomacy in the 21st Century Middle East, This report explores three diplomatic projects in the Middle East, in an effort to highlight noteworthy efforts at collaboration in contrast to stories about conflict. Fact Sheet – Will China's Future be Cleaner? Nowadays, Stavridis, who served as NATO Supreme Allied Commander from 2009 to 2013, has a busy post-naval career as a security expert commentator, author, and operations executive for the Carlyle Company. No region of the world will be left unaffected. The congressionally mandated analysis looked at a total of 79 military installations around the country. Climate change is destabilising the world and becoming 'threat to national security', US security chiefs warn. This blog post, cross-posted from Energy, Security, Policy, explains why it is so important. national security interests . But – climate change is not a matter of ‘belief’ – it is a matter of fact. There is no doubt that runaway climate change threatens the long term national security of many countries as well as the overall stability of the world. 1. And the potential consequences of this development go beyond environmental damage. This blog post, cross-posted from Energy, Security, Policy, explains why it is so important.. A changing climate is important enough that our national security planners are studying it closely. (April 8, 2019). It was Vice President Dick Cheney who first enunciated the “1% doctrine” in which the War on Terror empowered the U.S. government to say “Even if there’s just a 1 percent chance of the unimaginable coming due, act as if it is a certainty.” What we have now is at least 95% certainty from the science community, and yet you have many American politicians (including more than a few who supported Cheney’s pre-emptive doctrines) saying we cannot act because we do not have certainty. Climate change is a pressing risk to national and global security. Another challenge, Stavridis says, is that climate effects such as rising sea levels, droughts, and desalinization of water supplies can destabilize countries, which can lead to violent conflict and even full-blown wars. American Competitiveness & Economic Diplomacy, What we are reading | American Security Project, As Climate Envoy, John Kerry will lead Climate Action from the National Security Council, Building Caribbean Resilience with Fossil Fuel Revenues, Sanctions on Nord Stream 2? It is spurring more disastrous and deadly weather events like catastrophic hurricanes; the response to these events often includes troops, billions of dollars in disaster relief, and other resources. “It’s a pretty significant national security threat,” he tells Security Management. Sam Dorman is a … “When extreme weather hits the United States, it degrades the fighting force,” the group said. Military leaders will be faced with ever more tough decisions in terms of providing humanitarian assistance in the face of extreme weather events and disruptions to their own supply chains while coping with declining defense budgets in many parts of … “This diverts resources away from the armed forces that are needed to ensure security,” Stavridis says. The group gave a few examples of these challenges in a 5 March open letter to the Trump administration. Trump Drops Climate Threats from National Security Strategy. At a U.S. House Committee on Oversight and Reform hearing in April, Goldfein cited the Syrian Civil War as an example of how climate change’s impact has already destabilized some nations. Influence is Waning. This book provides a careful guide to how climate change will affect specific countries and geographical regions. As environmental media outlet Inside Climate News reminds us, The Worldwide Threat Assessment included “climate change” as a global threat to … But, it should be clear that these could affect the security of individuals and communities across the country. “When disaster strikes, local fire departments will be the first to arrive,” Eggleston said. Finally, in a development that threatens the very existence of a nation, Kiribati, the country’s Cabinet endorseda plan to buy nearly 6,000 acres of Fiji in order to move Kiribati’s population if a rising sea swallows their islands. The Defense Department, the Intelligence Community, and the Department of Homeland Security are closely studying the effects of climate change, particularly how it will impact our security. It will require a ‘whole of government’ focus that directs actions towards mitigating emissions, building resilience into domestic infrastructure, financing adaptation, and planning to respond to disasters. The predicted effects of climate change over the coming decades include extreme weather events, drought, flooding, sea level rise, retreating glaciers, habitat shifts, and the increased spread of life-threatening diseases. It would be a stretch to say that any of these examples threaten the narrowly defined ‘national security’ of the United States: we’re not likely to see civil conflict or state collapse here at home from violent weather. The Global Security Defense Index on climate change evaluates the extents of governments in considering climate change to be a national security issue. That means that addressing climate change is not simply a matter of deploying new energy sources or buying more efficient light bulbs. Climate change poses security risks, according to decades of intelligence reports: Intelligence analysts have agreed since the late 80s that climate change poses serious security risks. 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